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Polly fun vote

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Sunday, June 10, 2018 9:05:15 PM
Video: H264, 1701 KB/s
Audio: AAC, 186 KB/s
Size: 93.1 MB
Duration: 26:27
Quality 720p
Last summer i was working in US for summer man asked me if i was from czechoslovakia. had to explain to him i was belarusian and czechoslovakia is not country no more. This is the second time after that the PollyVote provides forecast of German elections. For this, the PollyVote applies the same basic method of combining forecasts, which has been used for US elections since That is, the PollyVote combines forecasts within and across four component methods, namely polls, prediction markets, expert judgment, and quantitative models. Sumata The right-wing AfD Alternative for Germany is predicted to come in third with 9. The forecast will be updated at the German project website whenever new information becomes available. Since its first launch last January, the combined PollyVote forecast has consistently — and correctly — predicted Hillary Clinton to win the popular vote. And so she did, albeit barely. In this preliminary post-mortem of how the PollyVote performed in predicting the popular vote, we compare how each component did relative to the other and to its record on the last six elections.
Comments
Ben SamaraThursday, March 15, 2018 2:12:57 PM
1 Find the video on facebook, tumblr, etc. Or, alternatively:
MentrySKThursday, March 22, 2018 11:17:32 AM
I have podophilia (feet), but I usually find that it's usually just a male thing. Is this true?
Paulo-SenseiThursday, March 22, 2018 10:10:08 PM
So sorry to hear about this, it's dreadful to have this sort of thing happen to someone. You are such a lovely person, and this sort of thing always happens to nice people.
Kamilla 181Tuesday, March 27, 2018 7:04:15 PM
This was interesting to me since I identify as aromantic and don't get crushes. I do get squishes. I am not asexual but I don't think sexual attraction has a name like crush and squish besides lust? Lustish? Anyway, I think it is interesting to see what an alloromantic thinks about crushes or what type of crushes they get. I don't have any of those list of crushes not even on famous people.
Commando DimMonday, April 2, 2018 10:41:15 AM
You need to collab with Mia Li!
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